Baytex’s year-end 2010 reserves are evaluated by Sproule Associates Limited (“Sproule”), the independent reserves evaluator for all of Baytex’s oil and gas properties, in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 “Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities” (“NI 51-101”). Complete reserves disclosure will be included in our Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2010, which will be filed in late March 2011. The December 31, 2010 reserve disclosure herein excludes the 2011 Heavy Oil Acquisition.
Highlights of the 2010 reserve report include:
Heavy Oil
Year-end 2010 reserves reflect continued growth of our heavy oil reserves to 167 million barrels of proved plus probable reserves, an increase of 15% over 2009, and 105 million barrels of proved reserves, an increase of 8% over 2009.
At Seal, year-end 2010 proved reserves increased 44% to 45.0 million barrels and proved plus probable reserves increased 56% to 83.9 million barrels. Proved reserves consist of 39.9 million barrels of primary (cold) reserves and 5.1 million barrels of reserves from thermally-enhanced oil recovery (“TEOR”). There were no proved reserves from TEOR booked at Seal at year-end 2009. The proved plus probable reserves consist of 53.6 million barrels of primary (cold) reserves and 30.3 million barrels of reserves from TEOR. There were 8.2 million barrels of proved plus probable reserves from TEOR booked at Seal at year-end 2009. The steady reserve growth we have recorded since beginning development in 2005 is consistent with our view that this property holds significant long-term growth potential. At year-end 2010, primary (cold) reserves were included on only 21 of our 105 sections of oil sands leasehold at Seal, and thermal reserves were included on only 1.5 sections. The table below summarizes the steady reserve growth we have realized at Seal.
|
Dec 31 2005 |
Dec 31 2006 |
Dec 31 2007 | Dec 31 2008 | Dec 31 2009 | Dec 31 2010 | |
| Reserves (MMbbl) | ||||||
| Total Proved | 2.2 | 8.5 | 20.2 | 27.0 | 31.2 | 45.0 |
| Proved plus Probable | 4.0 | 13.0 | 28.7 | 39.2 | 54.7 | 83.9 |
| Land Assigned Reserves | ||||||
| Sections (640 acres) | 4 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 20 | 23 |
We will continue to focus on development of this potential at Seal, and note that Seal will attract a larger percentage of our 2011 capital budget than any other project in our asset portfolio. In 2011, we expect to drill approximately 20 horizontal wells at Seal, largely comprised of multi-lateral wells. In addition, we intend to re-enter several existing single-leg horizontal wells and drill additional horizontal legs at closer inter-well spacing to increase recovery from these older wells. We also intend to complete our first 10-well module of CSS development at Seal during 2011.
Light Oil and Natural Gas Liquids
In combination, our proved plus probable light oil and NGL reserves increased by approximately six million barrels, or 39%, to 40 million barrels at year-end 2010.
In our light oil resource plays, the year-end 2010 reserves report reflects a 78% increase in proved plus probable reserves to 22.0 million boe for our Bakken/Three Forks development in North Dakota and a 92% increase in proved plus probable reserves to 4.2 million boe for our Viking development project in southeastern Alberta. Our year-end 2010 report includes 2.5 million boe of proved plus probable reserves for our southwest Saskatchewan Viking oil resource play. There were no undeveloped reserves booked for the Viking in southwest Saskatchewan at year-end 2009.
Natural Gas
Natural gas reserves declined year-over-year by eight Bcf, or 6%, to 126 Bcf on a proved plus probable basis. During 2010, we directed our efforts and capital toward oil development, and our reduced natural gas weighting and reserves reflect this focus.
| Based on Forecast Prices and Costs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light Oil & NGLs | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas | Oil Equivalent | ||||||
| Reserve Category | Gross (mbbl) |
Net (mbbl) |
Gross (mbbl) |
Net (mbbl) |
Gross (bcf) |
Net (bcf) |
Gross (mboe) |
Net (mboe) |
|
| Proved | |||||||||
| Developed Producing | 9,068 | 7,225 | 35,751 | 29,030 | 62.2 | 52.5 | 55,184 | 45,007 | |
| Developed Non-Producing | 971 | 756 | 14,610 | 12,281 | 7.9 | 6.7 | 16,900 | 14,152 | |
| Undeveloped | 11,201 | 9,369 | 54,618 | 46,073 | 13.7 | 11.1 | 68,106 | 57,290 | |
| Total Proved | 21,241 | 17,350 | 104,978 | 87,384 | 83.8 | 70.3 | 140,190 | 116,449 | |
| Probable | 19,158 | 15,820 | 62,435 | 51,284 | 43.5 | 36.1 | 88,835 | 73,118 | |
| Total Proved Plus Probable | 40,399 | 33,170 | 167,414 | 138,668 | 127.3 | 106.4 | 229,025 | 189,567 | |
| Notes: "Gross" reserves means the total working and royalty interest share of remaining recoverable reserves owned by Baytex before deductions of royalties payable to others. "Net" reserves means Baytex's gross reserves less all royalties payable to others. Oil equivalent amounts have been calculated using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil. | |||||||||
| Reconciliation of Gross Company Interest Reserves(1)(2) By Principal Product Type Forecast Prices and Costs |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light and Medium Crude Oil | Heavy Oil | ||||||
| Reserve Category | Proved (mbbl) |
Probable (mbbl) |
Proved + Probable (mbbl) |
Proved (mbbl) |
Probable (mbbl) |
Proved + Probable (mbbl) |
|
| December 31, 2009 | 14,568 | 10,233 | 24,801 | 97,054 | 48,542 | 145,596 | |
| Extensions | 4,931 | 9,073 | 14,004 | 14,142 | 2,533 | 16,675 | |
| Discoveries | - | - | - | 93 | 38 | 131 | |
| Improved Recoveries | - | - | - | 1,641 | 19,058 | 20,699 | |
| Technical Revisions | (219) | (2,764) | (2,983) | 1,314 | (8,252) | (6,938) | |
| Acquisitions | 754 | 1,381 | 2,135 | 1,483 | 772 | 2,255 | |
| Dispositions | - | - | - | (102) | (34) | (136) | |
| Economic Factors | 43 | 19 | 62 | (213) | (222) | (435) | |
| Production | (1,660) | - | (1,660) | (10,434) | - | (10,434) | |
| December 31, 2010 | 18,417 | 17,942 | 36,359 | 104,978 | 62,435 | 167,413 | |
| Natural Gas Liquids | Natural Gas including solution gas | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reserve Category | Proved (mbbl) |
Probable (mbbl) |
Proved + Probable (mbbl) |
Proved (mmcf) |
Probable (mmcf) |
Proved + Probable (mmcf) |
| December 31, 2009 | 2,817 | 1,501 | 4,318 | 89,659 | 44,090 | 133,748 |
| Extensions | 253 | 143 | 396 | 7,278 | 9,247 | 16,525 |
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Improved Recoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Technical Revisions | 554 | (396) | 158 | 11,088 | (8,439) | 2,648 |
| Acquisitions | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Economic Factors | (74) | (32) | (106) | (4,015) | (1,445) | (5,460) |
| Production | (726) | - | (726) | (20,185) | - | (20,185) |
| December 31, 2010 | 2,824 | 1,216 | 4,040 | 83,825 | 43,453 | 127,278 |
| Oil Equivalent |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| Reserve Category | Proved (mboe) |
Probable (mboe) |
Proved + Probable (mboe) |
| December 31, 2009 | 129,382 | 67,624 | 197,007 |
| Extensions | 20,539 | 13,290 | 33,829 |
| Discoveries | 93 | 38 | 131 |
| Improved Recoveries | 1,641 | 19,058 | 20,699 |
| Technical Revisions | 3,497 | (12,819) | (9,322) |
| Acquisitions | 2,237 | 2,153 | 4,390 |
| Dispositions | (102) | (34) | (136) |
| Economic Factors | (913) | (476) | (1,389) |
| Production | (16,184) | - | (16,184) |
| December 31, 2010 | 140,190 | 88,835 | 229,025 |
| Notes: | |
| (1) | Gross Company interest reserves include solution gas but do not include royalty interests. |
| (2) | Reserve information as at December 31, 2010 and 2009 is prepared in accordance with NI 51-101. |
| (3) | Oil equivalent amounts have been calculated using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil. BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6 mcf:1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. |
| Reserve Value (C$Millions) Before Tax and discounted at (%/year): |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reserve Category | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | |
| Proved | ||||||
| Developed Producing | 2,037 | 1,684 | 1,461 | 1,305 | 1,188 | |
| Developed Non-Producing | 617 | 453 | 347 | 274 | 223 | |
| Undeveloped | 2,299 | 1,599 | 1,173 | 897 | 709 | |
| Total Proved | 4,953 | 3,736 | 2,980 | 2,476 | 2,120 | |
| Probable | 3,245 | 1,836 | 1,195 | 851 | 643 | |
| Total Proved Plus Probable | 8,197 | 5,572 | 4,175 | 3,327 | 2,763 | |
| Notes: Reserve value at December 31, 2010, as evaluated by Sproule Associates Limited. The net present values noted in the table above do not include any value for future net revenue which may ultimately be generated from the contingent resources discussed later in this press release. | ||||||
| 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 3 Year Average 2008 - 2010 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excluding Future Development Costs | |||||
| FD&A costs - Proved ($/boe) | |||||
| Exploration and development | $9.54 | $12.54 | $14.26 | $11.50 | |
| Acquisitions (net of dispositions) | 21.84 | 21.27 | 22.99 | 22.32 | |
| Total | $10.52 | $15.45 | $18.37 | $14.57 | |
| FD&A costs – Proved plus Probable ($/boe) | |||||
| Exploration and development | $5.41 | $9.25 | $10.53 | $7.39 | |
| Acquisitions (net of dispositions) | 10.96 | 16.70 | 15.83 | 15.35 | |
| Total | $5.90 | $11.63 | $13.11 | $9.54 | |
| Operating netback per boe | $32.79 | $27.64 | $33.76 | $31.42 | |
| Recycle ratio based on operating netback | |||||
| Proved plus Probable | 5.6 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.3 | |
| Reserve replacement ratio | |||||
| Proved plus Probable | 165% | 233% | 274% | 222% | |
| Including Future Development Costs | |||||
| FD&A costs – Proved ($/boe) | |||||
| Exploration and development | $15.22 | $22.96 | $11.01 | $16.06 | |
| Acquisitions (net of dispositions) | 32.71 | 28.28 | 27.87 | 28.52 | |
| Total | $16.61 | $24.73 | $18.95 | $19.59 | |
| FD&A costs – Proved plus Probable ($/boe) | |||||
| Exploration and development | $12.44 | $20.01 | $12.09 | $14.00 | |
| Acquisitions (net of dispositions) | 20.68 | 23.12 | 20.23 | 21.09 | |
| Total | $13.17 | $21.00 | $16.06 | $15.92 | |
| Recycle ratio based on operating netback | |||||
| Proved plus probable | 2.5 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | |
|
Notes: The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserve additions for that year. Recycle ratio is calculated as operating netback divided by FD&A costs (prove plus probable excluding FDC). Operating netback is calculated as revenue minus royalties, operating expenses and transportation expenses. Reserve replacement ratio is calculated as total reserves added in the year divided by production for the same year. |
|||||
| 2011 | Reserve Life Index (years) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Production Target | Total Proved | Proved Plus Probable | |
| Oil and NGL (bbl/d) | 39,500 | 8.8 | 14.4 |
| Natural Gas (mmcf/d) | 48.0 | 4.8 | 7.3 |
| Oil Equivalent (boe/d) | 47,500 | 8.1 | 13.2 |
Please refer to our 2010 Annual Information Form which will be filed on SEDAR by the end of March for complete reserves disclosure.
| Year | WTI Cushing US$/bbl |
Edmonton Par Price C$/bbl |
Hardisty Heavy 12 API C$/bbl |
AECO C-Spot C$/MMbtu |
Inflation Rate %/Yr |
Exchange Rate $US/$Cdn |
| 2010 act. | 79.43 | 77.81 | 62.29 | 4.16 | 1.5% | 0.97 |
| 2011 | 88.40 | 93.08 | 74.46 | 4.04 | 1.5% | 0.93 |
| 2012 | 89.14 | 93.85 | 75.08 | 4.66 | 1.5% | 0.93 |
| 2013 | 88.77 | 93.43 | 72.87 | 4.99 | 1.5% | 0.93 |
| 2014 | 88.88 | 93.54 | 71.09 | 6.58 | 1.5% | 0.93 |
| 2015 | 90.22 | 94.95 | 72.16 | 6.69 | 1.5% | 0.93 |
| 2016 | 91.57 | 96.38 | 73.25 | 6.80 | 1.5% | 0.93 |
| 2017 | 92.94 | 97.84 | 74.36 | 6.91 | 1.5% | 0.93 |
| 2018 | 94.34 | 99.32 | 75.48 | 7.02 | 1.5% | 0.93 |
| 2019 | 95.75 | 100.81 | 76.62 | 7.14 | 1.5% | 0.93 |
| 2020 | 97.19 | 102.34 | 77.78 | 7.26 | 1.5% | 0.93 |
| Year | Proved Reserves ($000s) |
Proved Plus Probable Reserves ($000s) |
| 2011 | 255,592 | 327,459 |
| 2012 | 194,056 | 282,761 |
| 2013 | 103,985 | 200,014 |
| 2014 | 75,809 | 150,146 |
| 2015 | 54,939 | 152,561 |
| Remaining | 95,550 | 107,349 |
| Total (Undiscounted) | 779,931 | 1,220,290 |
| On February 3, 2011, Baytex completed an acquisition of heavy oil assets located in the Seal area of northern Alberta and the Lloydminster area of western Saskatchewan. The assets were acquired through a combination of a corporate acquisition of a private company and an asset acquisition. The reserves attributed to the 2011 Heavy Oil Acquisition have been evaluated by Sproule effective January 1, 2011. The following tables highlight Baytex’s reserves pro forma the 2011 Heavy Oil acquisition. | |||
| Baytex Reserves Pro forma 2011 Heavy Acquisition Forecast Prices and Costs |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| Reserve Category | Baytex | Acquisition | Pro forma |
| Heavy Oil (mbbl) | |||
| Proved | 104,978 | 6,201 | 111,179 |
| Proved Plus Probable | 167,414 | 10,501 | 177,915 |
| Light Oil and Natural Gas Liquids (mbbl) | |||
| Proved | 21,241 | - | 21,241 |
| Proved Plus Probable | 40,399 | - | 40,339 |
| Natural Gas (mmcf) | |||
| Proved | 83,865 | - | 83,825 |
| Proved Plus Probable | 127,278 | - | 127,278 |
| Oil Equivalent (mboe) | |||
| Proved | 140,189 | 6,201 | 146,390 |
| Proved Plus Probable | 229,025 | 10,501 | 239,506 |
| The following table sets forth our reserve life index based on pro forma total proved and pro forma proved plus probable reserves and the mid-point of our 2011 production guidance of 49,500 boe/d, as it was updated following the 2011 Heavy Oil Acquisition. | |||
| Reserve Life Index (years) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 Production Target | Total Proved | Proved Plus Probable | |
| Oil and NGL (bbl/d) Natural | 41,500 | 8.7 | 14.4 |
| Gas (mmcf/d) | 48.0 | 4.8 | 7.3 |
| Oil Equivalent (boe/d) | 49,500 | 8.1 | 13.3 |
Our operations are organized into Canadian Heavy Oil, Canadian Light Oil and Gas and United States business units.
In addition to shareholders, Baytex has a responsibility to the communities in which we work and do business.
Learn more about the
business of heavy oil in our marketing section.